By Paul Hedges
Counter Terrorist
Trends and Analyses
Volume 9, Issue 10
| October 2017
Synopsis
This
article explores some recent literature on radicalisation and its policy
implications. In particular, it questions the common use and understanding of
radicalisation, and focuses on the diverging arguments of two French scholars,
Giles Kepel and Olivier Roy about pathways to radicalisation. The article also
examines the link between radicalisation and “Militant Neo-Islamist Jihadism”,
and makes recommendations on dealing with the phenomenon discussed.
Introduction
As
a concept, a lot can be said about radicalisation. Focusing on an academic
debate about pathways to radicalisation between two French scholars, Giles
Kepel and Olivier Roy, this article offers an overview of some key literature
on radicalisation from 2015 to the present. It also outlines their respective
positions and arguments, and offers some additional academic insights to take
the debate further.The article also explores and clarifies key issues
associated with the concept of radicalisation. First, does the term
“radicalisation” refer to anything meaningful at all? This paper contends that overall the term
works as a tool to obfuscate rather than to clarify. But since the term is
widely used in academic literature, this paper employs it as shorthand for
multifaceted ways in which worldviews of particular individuals, groups, and
communities may become extreme, militant, or violent.
Second,
there is neither a commonly accepted personality profile nor a linear pathway
to radicalisation. In other words, the landscape and trajectory of terrorism in
terms of recruitment and evolution are both evolving and fluid. A third issue
is the distinctiveness associated with terms such as Islamist or Jihadist terrorism
and what we may or may not signify by this, particularly in the present context
because they relate to wider Islamic and Salafi thought. These
issues are significant for policy-related work and analysis because if
radicalisation is misunderstood (or as commonly understood), it can lead to
misapprehensions of how to approach and deal with the issue. As such, there is
a clear practitioner and policy dynamic that runs through this article and will
be especially developed in the conclusion.
What is (Wrong with) Radicalisation?
Arguably,
the first step to examine and understand radicalisation is to understand that
radicalisation is not something in itself. People do adopt worldviews,
ideologies, and practices which can be considered radical, and some of them go
on to commit acts of terror. However, I would argue that there is no distinct
practice and special realm of thought that can be labelled as
radicalisation. In sociological terms,
it is all about socialisation. Individuals behave and exist in the world by the
normal socialisation processes. That is to say, people learn from their friends,
contacts, people they respect, family, or whoever it may be, about what it means to be a human being. In other words,
how to live, interact with others, what code of life and forms of practice they
should adopt. As such we do not see some distinct process called radicalisation,
but socialisation into worldviews and behaviours that we label as „radical‟.
However, as discussed below, it is not a straight pathway from such
socialisation into being radicalised.
Instead
of acting outside their worldview through indoctrination and brainwashing,
radicalisation is about active involvement in a new worldview. Now, some people
referred to as radicalised have become socialised into worldviews or ideologies
which are considered radical. However, many people who are not regarded as
being radicalised may hold views which are regarded as radical and may well see
violence as a way to get to their ends. Criminal gangs, for instance, will
employ violence. However, when the term radicalisation is used today it
typically refers to pathways into terrorism.
Another issue with the term is what it implies: does it refer solely to
people who turn violent or use terrorist acts, or a wider base of sympathisers
with identical worldview, or with specific groups, such as Al-Qaeda or the
socalled „Islamic State‟ (IS)? Are all of these people radicals or
radicalised?6 Without more careful delineation about what these terms mean and
how they should be deployed, their loose usage will turn into witch-hunting,
chasing some mythic and imagined process or worldview. This point will be
explored further below.
A
second key misconception is the idea that there is only one, or primarily one,
major factor in pathways towards radicalisation or more appropriately, violent
extremism or terrorism. Notably, whether it is the far-right, far-left,
„jihadist‟ or other forms, some similarities are identifiable which will be
discussed below. Yet, despite a move from the now largely discredited
psychological profiling, to looking at pathways into terrorism, one single
pathway does not simply exist. Roy has summed up some common factors in
relation to jihadist radicalism, but
they are far from definitive nor are they useful profiling factors. Taking Roys
list and some key findings from other surveys, we can identify “typical”
elements often noted in terrorism studies. For instance, in France, many are
from second-generation immigrant families. The families are often dysfunctional
in some way (if compared to what is often represented as the normative nuclear
family), that is to say there is abuse, divorce, or single-parent situations.
An involvement in petty crime, violence, and
gangs is commonplace. Many also come from somewhat disadvantaged groups or
marginal social contexts, often being under-employed. There is also a sense of disenfranchisement
from society, where although integrated in many ways, one does not quite fit
in. Coupled with this is a sense of grievance at injustices, often by one‟s own
government or the West more broadly, concerning the treatment of Muslims. Such
individuals are often converts or those who have not taken their religion
seriously but have some form of being “born again.”
The
problem with the above-mentioned analysis is twofold. On the one hand,
statistically speaking, these traits are found typically in perhaps half of
samples or surveys. Sometimes it can be even more, around sixty or seventy
percent, but this can vary from sample to sample. As such, they are the most
common traits, but far from definitive or defining of all forms of
radicalisation. For instance, a good proportion come from well off and
economically privileged situations. Also, as noted, much of this literature is
based in the West and so may not reflect a global dynamic.
On the other hand, the issues raised do not
provide a clear and well defined group that can be pinpointed. Being
economically disadvantaged, second generation immigrants (even of specific
groups, for instance South Asians in the UK or from the Maghreb in France) with
a petty criminal or gang background will sweep up vast numbers of people.
Again, statistically very few of these will go on to join terror groups or
engage in acts of terrorism. Meanwhile, there is good evidence that using
surveillance over vast groups or castigating them as potential terrorists is
almost certainly counterproductive.
Kepel vs Roy: Ideology or the Radical Milieu
Recently,
a distinct academic debate on the conceptualisation of radicalisation has
emerged between the approach of Giles Kepel and Olivier Roy. Adopting a historical-analytical approach, Kepel
traces the development of the Salafist thought that has come to define itself
in contradistinction to the West. Particularly focusing on a work by Al-Suri in
2005, The Global Islamic Resistance Call, Kepel argues for a new (third) wave
of „jihadism‟ that focuses on small scale attacks in the West. For him, the
purist Salafist doctrine, especially as exemplified in the concept of al wala‟
wal bara‟a (loyalty and disavowal) whereby Muslims should not befriend
nonMuslims and should be essentially hostile to them, leads inexorably to the
confrontation of Islam and the West. When coupled with the discontent of the
French banlieues (economically poor and marginalised suburbs), Kepel sees a
perfect storm brewing as Muslim youths ghettoised in these regions react to a
history of oppression and inability to inculturate. In short, Kepel‟s argument
is that Salafi ideology, economic disparity and social prejudices are the root
causes of today‟s situation of „jihad‟ and terror in the West.
By way
of contrast, Roy under the catchphrase “the Islamicisation of radicalism”
suggests that the specific Salafi thought has not led to present
situation. He argues that many modern
„jihadist‟ terrorists are not in tune with Salafism. For Roy, the present
trajectory of youth discontent in the West can be traced to roots in anarchist
terror in the nineteenth century, which is exemplified in a youth culture of
nihilism and aggression. He sees this trend in incidents such as the Columbine
school shooting in the US in 1999 in which 13 people died.
Certainly,
he does not let Islam off the hook, and he is very clear that there is a
particular form of Islamist „jihadism‟ which underpins the culture that
supports this violence and radicalisation. However, he does not see the link
from religion to radicalisation per se, nor especially from poverty and
deprivation, though as he says these alongside prejudice and intolerance play a
role in supporting the perception that allows the worldview to flourish. In short , the dispute between Kepel and Roy
is whether contemporary radicalisation is based in, respectively, on the one
hand, an Islamic ideology and perceived persecution and relative deprivation,
or on the other, a nihilism and death cult that just happens to find its
current manifestation in a particular Islamic worldview. For the purpose of
this paper, and with a view to draw the practical lessons from this, the paper
will now focus on the two disputes.
Islam, Salafism, Jihadism
All
terrorists are Salafis, but not all Salafis are terrorists, is a well-worn
mantra in the literature. Indeed, we often see Salafis termed as quietist,
activist, or „jihadist‟, though this is over simplistic. For one thing, the
lines between them are not always hard and fast and can be porous. Moreover,
Peter Neumann argues that the contemporary Salafis are not like their
nineteenth century ancestors. Today, in the West at least, Salafis are likely
to be as much influenced by Western culture and American style as images of
seventh century Arabia. The modern „Jihadi‟ scene he argues is influenced by
IS‟s online productions and previously by Al-Qaeda‟s Yemeni leader Anwar
al-Awlaki‟s magazine Inspire, aware of modern production styles and keen to
speak to young people in the street. It is about hiphop and “Jihadi cool” as
much as traditional Islamic culture.
The
academic study of religious traditions is useful in understanding the dispute
between Kepel and Roy in a different way, because tradition is always a changing
phenomenon. Roy‟s argument that many young „jihadis‟ are not Salafis because
they do not lean on strict rules about prayer, piety, and personal decorum
seems correct. As he notes, drinking, non-attendance at Friday prayers, and so
on is noted in the biographies of various recent terrorists in France, Belgium,
and across other parts of the Western world.
However, Neumann seems to suggest that it is not that these people may
not be Salafis, but rather that the definition and notion of Salafi are
changing. Kepel is correct that the codes of purity, reform, and disavowal of
non-Muslims are all features of the thought world of contemporary „jihadism‟
that developed within the Salafist worldview. While Roy is correct that the
modern „jihadis‟ do not cite the Salafi sources and figures like al-Suri that
Kepel sees as significant in developing the contemporary context, they provide
what can be called the cultural milieu of contemporary „jihadism‟.
Indeed,
as Nafees Hamid has noted recently the pool of radicalisation is changing.
While al-Qaeda would take people to training camps for months or years to
ensure ideological purity for recruits, this is much less of a concern for IS.
Indeed, today it may well be true that terrorists simply do not come from the
Salafist groups if by this we mean the more traditionalist brand, rather
recruits are sought from the street and potentially more impressionable younger
people. This means that things are changing. As Marc Sageman noted, if we look
back across samples over decades, the vast majority of terrorists have no
criminal background. However, today, a majority of at least one sample of
recent foreign fighters did have either petty or violent criminal backgrounds.
Indeed, jail has been noted as a key breeding ground for radicalism where
disenfranchised youths may convert and be drawn into the influence of jihadist
thinkers.
Considering
the above, the contemporary militant landscape can be defined as one of what I
will term Militant Neo-Islamist Jihadism. It has evolved from Salafism, but it
radically differs from traditional forms of that tradition. Certainly, most
Western Muslim converts who make up a significant proportion are simply too
ignorant of the religion to know what is or is not Salafism, and indeed again
statistics show that nonconverts generally come from a not particularly devout
background.
Certainly, one recent sample of returned
foreign fighters from Syria indicates many did not even know how to pray, let
alone anything about doctrinal or creedal intricacies. Many figures are what
have been termed “born again” Muslims, often with a strongly Westernised
religiosity, by which is meant that it is shorn of cultural form, though as
noted, this is strongly influenced by Western cultural forms at least in presentation.
As such, Kepel is correct to trace this Salafist heritage, even if he does not
note the very different trajectory of some of the most recent trends.
As Neumann has argued, and is inherent in
Roy‟s arguments, there is specific militant „jihadist‟ culture that is fed
through Western concepts. In this „jihadist‟ culture, much of the theatrical
violence of groups like IS relies on video games, horror movies, and graphic
content that are intended to spread fear, and can be seen as linked to images
of the cool jihadi look – black gear, Kalashnikov touting, etc. How far the
eventual demise of IS as a military power with its own territory will affect
this remains to be seen.
The
term Neo-Islamist has been used because, while drawing from jihadist salafi thought,
it seems well accepted in the academic literature that the jihadist worldview
is entirely divorced from mainstream Islam (though the popular literature still
remains all too often stuck in the notion that much terrorism is inspired by
reading the Qur‟an), and the quite strict regulations on, for instance, what
military jihad means, how it can be conducted, etc. Not to mention the way that
respect and toleration for the religious other is built into tradition from the
Sunna (tradition) of the Prophet, exemplified in documents like the so-called
Medina Charter. We may therefore use the term Militant Neo-Islamist Jihadism or
jihadism for short.
Radicals and Contemporary Radicalisation
In a
survey in 1968, Hoffman observed that no known active terrorist group had a
religious base, but by 1993, twenty percent of terror groups had such a base.
This phenomenon has been termed the religious wave in terrorism. The tactics
and ideology of contemporary jihadism are linked back to the earliest days of
terrorism, building from Carlo Piscane‟s (1818-57) notion of the “propaganda of
the deed”, especially as developed by Pyotr Kropotkin (1842-1921) who made it a
terrorist strategy, and such figures as Frantz Fanon (1925-1961) who saw
violence as necessary in freeing the colonised from psychological trauma.
The founders of modern „jihadism‟ have further
developed these ideologies. What is clear from this, and other studies, is that
the makeup and ideology of terrorist groups always changes. Diego Gambetta and
Steffan Hertog, for instance, have ably shown the vast overrepresentation of
engineers in many early „jihadist‟ groups. This contrasted with some, such as
the Red Army Faction, where humanities and social sciences graduates
predominated. However, such profiles, despite the author‟s claims that these
are probably (though they admit these remain speculative) linked to personality
types, are not entirely useful.
Moreover, some of the most recent surveys of
present-day „jihadis‟ show many coming from poorly-educated and deprived
backgrounds contrasting with the more educated early figures and modern
leaders. Indeed, this gives us no specific profile. The poorly-educated
background is typical of some countries, such as France and Scandinavia, while
the UK has produced many who are often
university graduates. This survey of the problem of profiling takes us back to
the issue noted in our second question that we do not simply find a single
pathway into radicalism or terrorism.
While
Kepel and Roy present two grand narratives which explain the contemporary
understanding of radicalisation, however, neither provides an overall
perspective. Even in the French context, there is no agreement between them.
Combined with a changing landscape, part of the problem is the presence of
complex interaction between push and pull factors in the contemporary
context.
For instance, there seems good reason to
believe that a significant number of Muslims who travelled to Syria and ended
up fighting there went initially as part of aid parties to provide humanitarian
assistance. However, in the midst of a war zone, they ended up fighting and so
became embroiled in what are termed terrorist groups. A survey by the United Nations (UN) looking at
returnee foreign terrorist fighters suggests that ideology often played only a
very small part of these people‟s decision to become „jihadists‟. However, it
is important to point out that as disillusioned returnees these individuals
have an interest in playing down such ideological commitments – which still
leaves us with a sizeable number who claimed such a stance. Rather, the desire
to help their fellow Muslims who were perceived as beleaguered, in need, and
under attack was the most dominant motivator. Arguably, at least, this is very
different from what we may typically understand by the term radicalisation.
This
last point raises the issue that pathways into radicalism are diverse and
non-linear. Neumann has summed up what he describes as three types of radicals.
First, defenders, those who primarily wish to defend their fellow Muslims. They
may be devout but are not generally, what we would call “extremists.” Second,
seekers whose involvement is not mainly about politics or religion but are
those seeking “identity, community, power, and a feeling of masculinity” buy
into the „jihadist‟ counterculture. This category also includes hangers-on whose engagement is very much via
Sageman‟s classic “bunch of guys” theory. Third, those who may not be ideologically
motivated but whose attachment is to their specific close-knit community of
friends. Such an approach seems more useful than taking a single meta-narrative
approach.
Countering Radicalism with a Focus on Militant Neo-Islamic
Jihadism
There
is good reason to believe that the threat of far-right extremism, violence, and
radicalisation poses an equal if not greater risk to society than „jihadism‟.
This is certainly in the West, if not globally. Nevertheless, since the
particular focus of this paper is on radicalisation associated with what I have
termed Militant Neo-Islamist Jihadism, four main areas on policy relevant
thinking are highlighted below.
First, the term “radicalisation” itself is not
helpful as it suggests some specific and particular ways by which “normal”
people become violent. As noted, people join terrorist groups or become
involved in radicalisation pathways through a variety of means. Not many are
ideologically motivated, and certainly, a primarily religious motivation is
nearly always secondary at most. Second, the youth „jihadist‟ cultural milieu
is now booming and clearly established as cool. The answer to countering such a
cultural milieu goes beyond just developing a moderate Islam – the likes of
Tariq Ramadan speak to a very different group of people from the primarily
street-culture-influenced 18-29 year olds who seem to be the main pool of
radicals at present. Having credible moderate role models and voices showing
that jihadism is not the only way to be Islamic, is still important and may
have an effect, but the message needs to be packaged with education to a youth
audience in ways that speak to them.
Third, the changing jihadist landscape, with
no definitive profile or pathway towards radicalisation presents a policy
challenge. Much time is wasted looking for the single answer, or master key to
unlock the door to solve the problem. While studies show that problems such as
poverty, unemployment, prejudice, or relative social deprivation alone do not lead
to radicalism, they nevertheless are often the seedbeds in which it can grow.
Of course, the fact that jihadis can come from wealthy and educated backgrounds
means resolving such problems alone will not be enough but it can certainly
undercut certain pathways. In particular, what often emerges as a background is
the sense of grievance that Muslims feel about the hypocrisy or unfairness of
the West, or a belief that the “War on Terror” is a subterfuge for Westernising
or destroying Islam. Again, while not a panacea, more just and transparent
foreign and domestic policy can counter narratives that give credence to
jihadist ideologies.
Fourth, something of the elephant in the room
and not directly addressed so far has been the issue of trajectories into violence.38
A radical milieu that does not result in violence remains perhaps a
challenging, even troubling, counterculture, but not such a threat. It is clear
that while many may embrace the jihadist counterculture very few actually take
the further step to violence. Clearly, this issue needs to be addressed and
understood as jihadism clearly countenances such a step. As noted above, quite
a few studies suggest that indiscriminate finger pointing or surveillance of
communities may be counterproductive. Any response to this therefore needs to
be measured, targeted, evidence-based, and empathetic to the communities
involved.
About the author
Paul
Hedges is Associate Professor of Interreligious Studies in the Studies in
Interreligious Relations in Plural Societies Programme (SRP), S. Rajaratnam
School of International Studies (RSIS), Nanyang Technological University (NTU),
Singapore. He has published eleven books and over sixty academic papers in such
areas as interreligious relations and the study of religion.
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